FACEBOOK OF THE DEAD
FACEBOOK之死亡国
Q. When, if ever, will Facebook contain more profiles of dead people than of living ones?
Q．何时（如果真有那么一天的话）Facebook上死人的账户数会超过活人的账户数？
——Emily Dunham
——埃米莉•邓纳姆
“Put on your headphones!” “Can 8217;t. Ears fell off.”
“戴上耳机！”“做不到啊，耳朵早掉啦。”
A. EITHER THE 2060S OR the 2130s.
A．不是206X年就是213X年。
There are not a lot of dead people on Facebook.1 The main reasons for this is that Facebook-and its users-are young. The average Facebook user has gotten older over the last few years, but the site is still used at a much higher rate by the young than by the old.
目前Facebook上死人账户并不多。1a这主要是因为Facebook——以及它的用户们——都很年轻。在过去几年中，Facebook用户的平均年龄确实在上涨，但目前玩Facebook的年轻人还是远超老年人。
The past
过去
Based on the site 8217;s growth rate, and the age breakdown of its users over time,2 there are probably 10 to 20 million people who created Facebook profiles who have since died.
年老的科利•多克托罗正在cosplay未来的人认为他在过去的穿着。
These people are, at the moment, spread out pretty evenly across the age spectrum. Young people have a much lower death rate than people in their 60s or 70s, but they make up a substantial share of the dead on Facebook simply because there have been so many of them using it.
根据Facebook的增长速度，以及这些年来注册用户的年龄段演变来看，2这之中大约有1000万到2000万注册用户已经去世了。
An elderly Cory Doctorow cosplaying by wearing what the future thinks he wore in the past.
目前来看，这些人在年龄段上分布均匀。虽然年轻人的死亡率比六七十岁的老人要低，但由于他们占了Facebook用户中的大部分，因而死去的年轻人的数量还是和死去的老年人的数量差不多。
The future
未来
About 290,000 US Facebook users probably died in 2013. The worldwide total for 2013 is likely several million.3 In just seven years, this death rate will double, and in seven more years it will double again.
约有29万Facebook美国用户将（或已经）在2013年死去，而全球在2013年大约要死几百万人。3只需7年，死亡率就会翻倍；再过7年，死亡率还会再翻一番。
Even if Facebook closes registration tomorrow, the number of deaths per year will continue to grow for many decades, as the generation who was in college between 2000 and 2020 grows old.
即使Facebook明年就关闭注册，每年的死亡数还会持续上升，这个势头将保持好几十年，因为2000年到2020年间读大学的人都开始变老了。
The deciding factor in when the dead will outnumber the living is whether Facebook adds new living users-ideally, young ones-fast enough to outrun this tide of death for a while.
决定死人账号数何时超过活人账户数的关键因素在于，Facebook的新增用户速度——一般是那些年轻人——能否快过老用户死亡的速度。